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\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href='\/index.php\/2025\/12\/26\/%e5%be%b7%e5%b7%9e%e6%89%91%e5%85%8b%e6%94%bb%e7%95%a5%ef%bc%9a%e8%b5%84%e9%87%91%e7%ae%a1%e7%90%86%e8%a7%82%e5%bf%b5%e5%8f%8a%e5%90%88%e7%90%86%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84%e4%b8%8e%e6%8a%a5%e9%85%ac%e7%8e%a9\/' title='\u51ef\u5229\u51c6\u5219' target='_blank'>\u51ef\u5229\u51c6\u5219<\/a> Kelly criterion<\/p>\n<p>\u51ef\u5229\u51c6\u5219\u5c5e\u4e8e\u535a\u5f08\/\u6295\u8d44\u7406\u8bba\u91cc\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u5f53\u77e5\u540d\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u5176\u7528\u9014\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e8e\u5728\u535a\u5f08\u4ee5\u53ca\u6295\u8d44\u8303\u7574\u5185\u53bb\u660e\u786e\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u4e0b\u6ce8\u989d\u5ea6\u6216\u8005\u6295\u8d44\u91d1\u989d\uff0c\u5b83\u6700\u5f00\u59cb\u662f\u5728\u8bf8\u598221\u70b9\u3001\u8f6e\u76d8\u8fd9\u7c7b\u535a\u5f08\u6e38\u620f\u91cc\u5f97\u4ee5\u5e94\u7528\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e86\u5f88\u957f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u8fd8\u88ab\u50cf\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8457\u540d\u6295\u8d44\u5bb6\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8d44\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u9886\u57df\u6240\u8fd0\u7528\u3002\u5b83\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u516c\u5f0f\u5448\u73b0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u6837 \uff1a<\/p>\n<p>f = \uff08b*p-q\uff09\/b<\/p>\n<p>f = \u5e94\u8be5\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u591a\u5927\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u53bb\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/p>\n<p>b = \u6c60\u5e95\u6bd4\/\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u6bd4<\/p>\n<p>p = \u8d62\u94b1\u6982\u7387<\/p>\n<p>q = \u8f93\u94b1\u6982\u7387\uff0cq = 100% &#8211; p<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u4f4d\u73a9\u5bb6\u5b58\u5728\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u516d\u5341\u7684\u80fd\u591f\u8d62\u5f97\u4e00\u573a\u6e38\u620f\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u6e38\u620f\u7684\u6c60\u5e95\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u62bc\u4e00\u8d62\u4e00\u7684\u72b6\u51b5 \u3002<\/p>\n<p>p = 60% = 0.6<\/p>\n<p>q = 40% = 0.4<\/p>\n<p>b = 1\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e48\u6b64\u73a9\u5bb6\u6bcf\u6b21\u5c31\u5e94\u8be5\u62ff\u591a\u5c11\u8d44\u672c\u4e0b\u53bb\u6700\u5408\u9002\u5462?<\/p>\n<p>f = ( 1 * 0.6- 0.4 )\/1 = 0.2<\/p>\n<p>\u4e5f\u4fbf\u662f\u73a9\u5bb6\u5e94\u5f53\u8fd0\u7528\u81ea\u8eab\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u5341\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u53bb\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u5c31\u957f\u671f\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6b64\u5373\u4e3a\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u8d62\u5229\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6781\u4e3a\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u6cd5\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u51ef\u5229\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u65b9\u9762\u5df2\u7136\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u5c5e\u4e8e\u6700\u4f18\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u73a9\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6e38\u620f\u5f53\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff08edge\uff09\uff1ab<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5982\u679c\u73b0\u5728\u5411\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u9ad8\u624b\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6253\u597d\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6280\u672f\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c90%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u505a\u597d\u300c\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u300d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5728\u5fb7\u6251\u7f51\u6e38\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u7b79\u7801\uff08\u91d1\u5e01\u6216\u5206\u6570\uff09\u7ba1\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1350,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1298,1100,669,1581,743],"class_list":["post-1349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pkxw","tag-1298","tag-1100","tag-669","tag-1581","tag-743"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1349","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1349"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1349\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1350"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1349"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1349"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}