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Kelly criterion<\/p>\n<p>\u51ef\u5229\u51c6\u5219\u662f\u535a\u5f08\/\u6295\u8d44\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u5f0f\u5f88\u8457\u540d\uff0c\u591a\u7528\u4e8e\u535a\u5f08\u4e0e\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6765\u786e\u5b9a\u6700\u4f18\u4e0b\u6ce8\/\u6295\u8d44\u989d\uff0c\u5b83\u6700\u521d\u7528\u4e8e21\u70b9\u3001\u8f6e\u76d8\u7b49\u535a\u5f08\u6e38\u620f\uff0c\u5f88\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8457\u540d\u6295\u8d44\u5bb6\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8d44\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u4e5f\u91c7\u7528\u5b83\u3002\u5b83\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>f = \uff08b*p-q\uff09\/b<\/p>\n<p>f = \u5e94\u8be5\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u591a\u5927\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u53bb\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/p>\n<p>b = \u6c60\u5e95\u6bd4\/\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u6bd4<\/p>\n<p>p = \u8d62\u94b1\u6982\u7387<\/p>\n<p>q = \u8f93\u94b1\u6982\u7387\uff0cq = 100% &#8211; p<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u73a9\u5bb6\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u516d\u5341\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u524d\u5f80\u53bb\u8d62\u5f97\u67d0\u4e00\u4e2a\u6e38\u620f\uff0c\u5176\u6e38\u620f\u7684\u6c60\u5e95\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u6bd4\u62bc\u4e00\u8d62\u4e00\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u72b6\u51b5 \u3002<\/p>\n<p>p = 60% = 0.6<\/p>\n<p>q = 40% = 0.4<\/p>\n<p>b = 1\uff0c<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e48\u6b64\u73a9\u5bb6\u6bcf\u6b21\u5c31\u5e94\u8be5\u62ff\u591a\u5c11\u8d44\u672c\u4e0b\u53bb\u6700\u5408\u9002\u5462?<\/p>\n<p>f = ( 1 * 0.6- 0.4 )\/1= 0.2<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u73a9\u5bb6\u9700\u8fd0\u7528\u81ea\u8eab\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u5341\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0b\u6ce8\u3002\u5c31\u957f\u671f\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6b64\u4e43\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u8d62\u5229\u4e4b\u5904\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7279\u522b\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u51ef\u5229\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u5c42\u9762\u5df2\u7136\u8bc1\u5b9e\u8fd9\u662f\u6700\u4f18\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u73a9\u5bb6\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6e38\u620f\u5f53\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff08edge\uff09\uff1ab<\/p>\n<p>\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5e94\u7528<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u5c11\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u73a9\u5bb6\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u6311\u9009\u201c\u7a33\u5b9a\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u559c\u597d\u201c\u98ce\u9669\u201d\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u6709\u7740\u517b\u5bb6\u7cca\u53e3\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u5b58\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u538b\u529b\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\u4eec\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u754f\u60e7\u8f93\u724c\u800c\u80c6\u5c0f\u602f\u61e6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u51ef\u5229\u6cd5\u5219\u5411\u54b1\u4eec\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8981\u662f\u54b1\u4eec\u5bf9\u81ea\u8eab\u4f18\u52bf\u6709\u7740\u6e05\u6670\u660e\u4e86\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5728\u4f18\u52bf\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u91cc\u5934\uff0c\u54b1\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u52a8\u7528\u6240\u5360\u6bd4\u4f8b\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\uff08BR bankroll\uff09\u53bb\u5192\u9669\uff1b\u5728\u4f18\u52bf\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u5f53\u4e2d\uff0c\u54b1\u4eec\u7406\u5e94\u76f8\u5bf9\u66f4\u4e3a\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u8fd9\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u662f\uff0c\u4f60\u80fd\u591f\u4e8e\u4e0b\u98ce\u671f\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u964d\u4f4e\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u5c42\u6b21\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8ba9\u81ea\u5df1\u59cb\u7ec8\u80fd\u591f\u4fdd\u6709\u5728\u4f18\u52bf\u4e0e\u8d44\u91d1\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82e5\u56de\u5230\u5148\u524d\u90a3\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u8eab\u5177\u5907\u4f18\u52bf\u4e4b\u9645\u5fb7\u4fe1\u7ade\u6280\uff0cb\u7b49\u4e8e1\uff0cp\u7b49\u4e8e0.6\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u4fbf\u80fd\u62ff\u81ea\u8eab20%\u7684BR\u53bb\u8ffd\u9c7c \uff0c\u4e8e\u73b0\u5b9e\u60c5\u5f62\u91cc\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u51ef\u5229\u6307\u6570\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u66f4\u9ad8 \uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u6781\u5177\u5929\u8d4b\u7684\u5fb7\u5dde\u3002\u6251\u514b\u5c11\u5e74\u770b\u4f3c\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u65b9\u5f0f \u90a3\u4fbf\u662f\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0e\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u8bfe\u9898 \uff0c\u9664\u6781\u5c11\u4e2a\u522b\u72b6\u51b5\u5916 \uff0c\u9c9c\u5c11\u6709\u81f3\u59cb\u81f3\u7ec8\u90fd\u672a\u7834\u4ea7\u6216\u8005\u4e34\u8fd1\u7834\u4ea7\u5730\u53bb\u8ffd\u6c42\u66f4\u9ad8\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u804c\u4e1a\u9009\u624b \uff0c\u5b9e\u5219\u5728\u6b64\u4e14\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5b9e\u9645\u6210\u7ee9\u7684\u652f\u6491 \uff0c\u4e00\u5c06\u529f\u6210\u4e07\u9aa8\u67af \u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u671f\u671b\u5207\u5b9e\u4f9d\u7167\u51ef\u5229\u51c6\u5219\u671d\u7740\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6781\u5dc5\u8fc8\u8fdb\uff0c\u4f60\u8d77\u7801\u8981\u8fbe\u6210\u5982\u4e0b\u51e0\u70b9\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u63d0\u5347\u81ea\u8eab\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u59cb\u7ec8\u5b66\u4e60\u66f4\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u589e\u52a0\u81ea\u8eab\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5018\u82e5\u6ca1\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u4fbf\u5e94\u5f53\u9000\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6e38\u620f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2.\u4fdd\u6301\u8d44\u91d1\u5b89\u5168\uff1a\u968f\u65f6\u6709\u964d\u7ea7\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u8d2f\u5f7b\u6267\u884c\u5347\u964d\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d44\u91d1\u5b58\u6709\u533a\u5206\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u9700\u8d44\u91d1\u4e0e\u6251\u514b\u76f8\u5173\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u5e94\u5f53\u5f7c\u6b64\u5206\u5f00\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u8fd9\u822c\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u4e3a\u52c7\u6562\u5730\u524d\u53bb\u5192\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>4. \u627f\u62c5\u98ce\u9669\uff1a\u4e8e\u8d85\u51fa\u81ea\u8eab\u6240\u80fd\u627f\u53d7\u7684\u6d41\u9f3b\u8840\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7ea7\u522b\u65f6\uff0c\u8ddf\u670b\u53cb\u76f8\u4e92\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u62c5\u5440\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f53\u5c5e\u6781\u4e3a\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u505a\u6cd5\u5462\u3002  \uff0c \u548c\u670b\u53cb\u8fdb\u884c\u4e92\u76f8\u5206\u62c5\uff08\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff09  \uff0c \u8fd9\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u505a\u6cd5  \uff0c \u662f\u5728\u9ad8\u4e8e\u80fd\u591f\u8d1f\u62c5\u7684\u6d41\u9f3b\u8840\u7ea7\u522b  \u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u60f3\u501f\u52a9\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u7a33\u5b9a\u83b7\u53d6\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u6781\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u4ec5\u6709\u826f\u597d\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u5374\u662f\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u7684\uff0c\u5b66\u4e60\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u76ee\u6807\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u72b6\u6001\u7ba1\u7406\u4ee5\u53ca\u65f6\u95f4\u7ba1\u7406\u540c\u6837\u90fd\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u5728\u80fd\u591f\u9884\u89c1\u5230\u7684\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u72ed\u4e49\u7684\u6251\u514b\u6280\u672f\u672c\u8eab\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u5e7f\u4e49\u6251\u514b\u6280\u80fd\u5c06\u4f1a\u6108\u53d1\u53d7\u5230\u6251\u514b\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u91cd\u89c6\u3002\u66f4\u591a\u6709\u5173\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u653b\u7565\uff0c\u8bf7\u7559\u610f\u5fae\u4fe1\uff1a\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u57f9\u8bad\u5927\u5e08\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5982\u679c\u73b0\u5728\u5411\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u9ad8\u624b\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6253\u597d\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6280\u672f\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c90%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u505a\u597d\u300c\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u300d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5728\u5fb7\u6251\u7f51\u6e38\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u7b79\u7801\uff08\u91d1\u5e01\u6216\u5206\u6570<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1298,669,1299,743,942],"class_list":["post-744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-pkxw","tag-1298","tag-669","tag-1299","tag-743","tag-942"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}